Smart Trading: Adapt, Don’t Predict | by Crypto Unfiltered | The Capital | Mar, 2025

Smart Trading: Adapt, Don’t Predict | by Crypto Unfiltered | The Capital | Mar, 2025


How to stop guessing and start making better trading decisions

The Capital

Every time the market crashes, the same thing happens: suddenly, everyone was “in cash for months.” They weren’t.

I’m not here to tell you I saw this coming months ago and sold everything. I didn’t. But I also didn’t get wrecked and lose it all. Why? Because I reacted to technical signals and reduced my exposure to altcoins.

If there’s one thing you should take from this, it’s this: markets don’t care what we think should happen.

A couple of months ago, everyone thought Bitcoin was breaking out. I thought so too. But then, support at $89,000 broke down. At that point, there were two options: watch and hope for a V-shape recovery, or adjust and reduce my position.

Here’s how it happened:

  • Breakdown below key support → a clear warning sign.
  • Retests of broken support flipping into resistance → confirmation of weakness.
  • Symmetrical triangle breaking down → confirmation of further downside momentum.

These three signals indicated it was time to start reducing risk.



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